Every essay — page 26
Temperature
How much is at stake, measured. Thermographs, cooling, and why a player moves where the game is hottest.
A pool built to punish greed
The rung below found a rule with no theorem behind it beating the rule with one, and predicted that a pool of deliberate traps would reverse the result. It does not. The traps miss, because the rule called greedy scores a move by the stop it leaves and a stop already contains the follow-up — and the rule the traps do catch, losing sixteen points where the guaranteed rule loses five, had to be written to make the point.
How hot a real position is
Counted one value at a time, a tenth of the subject is hot. Counted one position at a time — every board this site has enumerated, all 11,397 of them — it is a twentieth, two thirds of the positions are worth numbers outright, and ten of the seventeen rulesets never produce a hot position at all.
The answer that starts another fight
A local move is answered while the ambient temperature stays below the follow-up's — and that rule, which this site has carried since the anchor opened, is exact only when the answer ends the fight. When the answer starts another one the crossover is exactly half the follow-up's temperature, on every position tested, and a third level of fight does not halve it again.
A schedule instead of a number
Playing in the hottest component loses at most the largest temperature on the board — the classical guarantee, stated against one number. Sorting the temperatures and reading the guarantee one step further down gives a promise 47 per cent smaller that is never breached over 1,734 sums. Two steps down it fails 120 times, so the schedule has exactly one step of slack in it.
What the halving is a function of
A move is answered while the board is cooler than the follow-up's temperature — or half of it, depending which of two classes the position is in, and the classes were stated in terms of forms. They are a feature of one wall: whether the follow-up's right wall rises straight up before it leans. Fifty-five positions, no exception, and the crossover becomes something a reader can see.
When to leave the environment
A Go player's question is not which fight to take but when to stop taking the small stuff. Put two fights beside a stack of coupons and the orthodox answer — leave when the coupon falls to the hottest temperature on the board — is exact on sixty of eighty-one pairs. All twenty-one departures have a fight with a follow-up in them, and every pair of plain switches leaves on time.
How big the answer is
The rung below found every early departure from a coupon stack caused by a position with a follow-up, and could not say more: its follow-ups were all of a similar size, so the class it measured was one bit. A pool graded by follow-up size answers it. With the position's own temperature held at one, the departure runs from coupon 1 to coupon 3.5 as the follow-up's temperature runs from 1 to 4 — and over the whole grid the players leave at the larger of the two temperatures.
What a game actually produces
Fifty-three per cent of the Domineering regions of at most eight squares are hot. Of the components eleven hundred random games actually produce, sixteen per cent are — and ten per cent once single squares are counted. The figure is the same on three sizes of board, so it is a property of play rather than of the board, and it says that every temperature census this site has taken over a catalogue overstates how hot the game is by a factor of three.
A subtraction, not a factor
The crossover factor was a half on fights whose answer starts another fight, measured on a pool with two three-deep positions in it. A pool built to be deep gives twenty, and the factor does not survive them: the crossover is the follow-up's temperature less a half on eighteen of the twenty, and a factor of a half agrees with that only where the temperature is one — which nearly every position in the earlier pool had.
Half of the smaller temperature
The correction to the sente crossover has been priced twice — first as a factor of a half, then as a subtraction of a half — each time on a pool whose answers were all about the same size. Over 128 fights with answers from a number up to a temperature of six, the correction is half the answer's temperature, saturating at half the fight's own. Both earlier readings are regions of that one law.
One fight makes a board a fight
The rung below found 16 per cent of the components a played game produces to be hot, against 53 per cent of the catalogue they are drawn from, and predicted that the share of hot boards would be much larger. Taking the same play-outs and tallying at the board gives 32 per cent — twice the piece figure and not ten times it, because a Domineering board carries only 1.68 pieces and the hot ones cluster on the same boards.
The quantity that does not order a board
The rung below found the players leaving an environment at the larger of a position's two temperatures, and proposed that a board should therefore be played in the order of that quantity. Over 220 boards of three components it plays exactly on 124 against playing-in-the-hottest's 196, loses 85 of the 97 disagreements, breaks Hotstrat's guarantee on six boards, and costs nine points on its worst one.
A rule that beats the hottest
The rung below proposed the reverse of the rule that had just failed — discount a component by its answer's temperature rather than promoting it — and predicted, before the sweep, that it would not beat playing in the hottest component. It does. It plays exactly on 201 of 220 three-component boards against 196, wins two thirds of the boards where the two disagree, keeps inside a guarantee proved for the other rule, and the gap widens as the board grows.
The obstacle was the catalogue
The rung below could not measure the early game because its regions were too large for the catalogue, and asked for a bracket rather than a value. No bracket is needed: a twelve-square region evaluates in five milliseconds and an eighteen-square one in under a second. What was expensive was cataloguing every shape rather than sweeping the positions a board actually reaches — and the sweep says a board is hot four times in five three moves in, and cools when it breaks up.
The two numbers at the top
The rung below found the crossover of a sente fight to be its temperature less half its answer's, and said a proof would settle the depth question with it. The depth question is settled without the proof, by construction: group the positions by their two top temperatures and the crossover is single-valued on every group, however far apart the third temperature is — and the formula survives a fourth level of fight, which the rung below never reached.
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