Combinatorial Game Theory
who wins, and by how much
Theme

The thread: Equal, better, or neither — page 4

Two positions can be equal, one can be better, or the pair can be genuinely incomparable — a fourth relation with its own symbol. Deciding which is a search rather than a look, and equality quantifies over every game there is.
Every chance the coin gives, by day 2. The probabilities the coin produces over all the values born by a given day, drawn on the unit interval. They fall on a grid of dyadic fractions, every interior point of it is reached, and the two ends never are — so no position is ever a certainty under random turns. Where it stops

Every chance but a certainty

The coin's number lands on a grid of dyadic fractions, and which points of that grid arrive is a count rather than a guess. Over the 1,474 values born by day three it reaches every one of the fifteen interior sixteenths and neither end — no position is ever certain. The groups sharing a chance run 1, 2, 4, 8 on the small pool, which looks like doubling, and 1, 2, 4, 20 on the large one, which is not.

 The coin's move is often a blunder. Positions where Left has a choice and at least one option wins under alternating play, with how often the option maximising Left's chance under random turns is an option that loses the alternating game outright. Where it stops

The best chance is the wrong move

Maximising a probability and denying an opponent a reply are different objectives, and on 189 of the 904 day-three positions where Left has a choice and a winning move, the option the coin prefers is one that loses the alternating game outright. The smallest case is two options and one line of arithmetic: five eighths beats a half, and a half is the move that wins.

 The reversing move is the follower's. For each follower under which some gift horse escapes domination, the number of escapes, how many are reversed by Right's move inside the follower, and how many by a Right move in the base part. The follower's move reverses every one. Sums and comparison

The follower does the reversing

The gift-horse theorem for the ordinal sum needs two cases, and the second — the added option is reversible — was counted and not described. Recorded move by move, the reversing answer is always Right's move inside the follower: on all 410 escapes under five followers, and on every one of the 2,628 gift horses under every follower that gives Right a move at all. The case split is by follower, not by horse.

 The day-four figure, twenty draws at a time. Corrected day-four comparability from twenty seeds of each of two constructions, as dots on a percentage axis, with the range of day three's four slices shaded and the single figure the earlier essay reported marked. The seeds spread over about twelve points and the two constructions agree. Sums and comparison

Twenty draws and a second recipe

Day four's comparability was reported as 60.6 per cent against day three's 59.7, from one built sample and one calibration. Built twenty times with each of two recipes whose biases differ by six points, and calibrated against all 1,474 day-three values rather than a quarter of them, the corrected figure spreads over twelve points from seed to seed and the two recipes agree within one standard error. The floor survives; the decimal was one draw.

 Cancelling is not pairing. For three sets of coin values and rows of two to seven coins, how many rows cancel against their own negatives, how many pair off as nested equal pairs, how many do both, and how many do one without the other. Out in the world

Cancelling is not pairing

The coin rows that cancel against their own negatives looked like the rows whose coins pair off as nested equal pairs, and on rows of four they are exactly those. From six coins the description fails in both directions — twenty rows pair off perfectly and do not cancel, and one coin set has a hundred and thirty-six that cancel with no pairing at all — and a row of five coins cancels, though an odd row can never pair off. What does hold, on every row swept, is that the first player in a row plus its negative never finishes behind.

 Cancelling rows add to cancelling rows. Every pair of cancelling coin rows of two, four and five coins from minus two, one and three, grouped by their lengths, with the number of pairs whose sum cancels against the sum of their negatives. Out in the world

A cancelling pair is a zero

Two cancelling coin rows side by side cancel against their two negatives — all 190 pairs from rows of two, four and five coins, the odd row that cancels without pairing off included. And a cancelling row beside its negative is invisible next to any other row: in 741 tests against every row of one to three coins, neither score of the context moves. A non-cancelling pair moves a score in 452 of 780. Scoring games have no inverses in general; this class has them, and they behave as inverses must.

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