The thread: A theorem that names no move — page 6
Three ways to know a draw
A draw on a board too large to search has to be certified, and there are two standard certificates: a pairing of cells and the Erdős–Selfridge sum over lines. Set against exhaustive search, both miss 4 × 4, and a rule taken from the sum holds there anyway. The sum looks far stronger until pairs are allowed to serve several lines at once. Then across 440 boards up to 12 × 12, the sum certifies no draw that a pairing does not, and a pairing certifies 36 that the sum cannot.
A win priced in stones
Change the rate of play and a yes-or-no question becomes a number. Against a Maker placing one stone a turn, Breaker needs two stones to stop three in a row on every board up to 4 × 4 and six by three, and three on 5 × 4. Against a Breaker placing one, a Maker needs two stones on most boards drawn at one, and three to make four in a row on 4 × 3. The extra stone is enough to erase noughts and crosses altogether, and the biased sum is exact there and high everywhere else.