Mean value — where it appears
Named by 76 essays across 7 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.
What is at stake
Some positions both players are desperate to move in, and some neither player wants to touch. The difference is a number — how much the move is worth — and it turns out to be the most useful single quantity for deciding where to play.
Reading a thermograph
A thermograph is two walls rising from a number line, closing in as the tax on moving increases, and meeting where the position stops being worth fighting over. Everything about a position's hotness is in the shape.
Cooling
Charge a tax on every move and a fight becomes a number. The height of tax at which that happens is the temperature — so cooling is not a technique for finding the temperature, it is what the temperature is.
Two hot fights that add to a cold number
The mean of a sum is the sum of the means, every time. The temperature is not — it is bounded by the hottest part and is often far below it. Two positions each worth fighting over can add to a plain number that neither player wants to touch.
The same fight, eight times over
The mean is not roughly what a position is worth. It is the number that eight copies of the position stay close to — and the theorem is that the closeness does not decay as the copies pile up. The gap stops at the temperature, and stays there for ever.
Worth nothing, and worth fighting for
A switch is a position both players want to move in. Its average value can be zero while the difference between getting there first and second is enormous, and that gap is a second number every position carries.
Big is not the same as hot
A player sizes a move by how much changes hands when it is played, which is the number in every endgame book. The theory sizes it by temperature. On a plain switch the two agree exactly, so nothing shows; on a move with a follow-up they come apart, and the count gives up more than the guarantee the theory's rule carries.
Counting at the end changes everything
Go is scored. So are Dots and Boxes, chess and almost everything anybody plays for money — and none of them is the kind of game this site's whole apparatus is built for. The simplest scoring game there is shows what that costs — the normal-play theory gives every position of it the same answer, and the answer is useless.
Sente is a fact about the rest of the board
A move that must be answered is called sente, and the word is used as though it described the local position. It does not. The same fight is answered while the rest of the board is quiet and ignored once it is busy, and the crossover — measured by solving the whole board at every temperature — sits at the follow-up's own temperature.
A thermograph is built from its options'
The diagram is not measured, it is computed — each wall is an extremum over the options' opposite walls, shifted by the tax. That construction is why a hot follow-up lowers the temperature instead of raising it, and why two fights with the same swing can differ by a factor of two in what is at stake.
Double sente is not a property of the position
A fight with a threat on each side is called double sente, as though the phrase named a shape. Swept against a rising ambient temperature, one such fight — { {5 | 3} | {2 | −4}} — is double sente up to an ambient of 1, sente for one player only from 3/2 to 3, and gote for both from 7/2, and the two band edges are the temperatures of the two follow-ups.
The first time it told somebody something
A theory earns its keep when it produces an answer nobody had. Temperature did that for Go endgames — the orthodox account gives a move order that is provably right and is not the one experience offers, and the position it is right about is small enough to check here completely.
An environment made of coupons
Beside the game sits a stack of coupons worth 4, 3, 2, 1, 0, and a player may always take the top one instead of moving. Play the whole thing out and two quantities the theory computes are measured instead: {4 | 0} comes out worth exactly 2, its mean value, and the coupons stop at 2, its temperature. For {10 | {9 | 1}}, whose temperature is 1, they stop at 7/2 — because what the stopping coupon measures is the hottest temperature anywhere in the tree.
A rule that is never right and cannot be far wrong
Playing the hottest component is not optimal — over 440 measured lines it costs something on 17 of them. What makes it worth having is that the cost is bounded by the temperature, provably, and that the same test run with the ordering reversed breaks the bound on 54.
A thermograph with two bends
A wall bends where the option holding it up stops holding it up, and most drawn thermographs bend once. { {5 | {3 | 1}} | 0} bends twice, at 1 and 3/2, and neither height is its temperature of 7/4 — every bend lies strictly below where the walls meet. Over a census of 17,255 hot positions two levels deep, a second bend in one wall never happened once.
Where the fight stops
Keep taking the biggest thing on offer until somebody is left facing a number, and the number reached is a stop. Every position has two of them, one for each player moving first, and between them they say how a fight ends — except for the part of it no number can reach.
Cooling by exactly one
Cooling is usually met as a way of reading a thermograph: a tax, and two numbers at the height of the tax. Applied as an operator it returns a position instead — and then the obvious question is whether heating gives the position back. Over the 1,474 values born by day three, 27 survive the round trip and 15 of those are numbers that never moved. Cooling throws away almost everything it touches.
The values of every small board
Thirty Domineering rectangles, every value computed from the moves rather than looked up. The 1×n row obeys a formula and the 2×n row does not: its outcomes run L N N R three times over and then 2×13 comes out worth exactly 0, and its temperatures climb to 19/16 and fall back without settling.
What a move is worth to the player making it
The gain from a move is the option minus the position it was played from — and that is a game rather than a number, so two moves can be incomparable instead of one of them being best. Temperature is what happens when the largest of those games is asked for a single number.
A number and a fight
Charge a position exactly what it is worth fighting over and the fight disappears, leaving the mean value — with something still attached to it. Over all 1,122 hot values born by day three the residue is smaller than every positive number, it is a star in 942 of them, and it is never nothing. So a hot game is its mean plus a fight plus a remainder that no number reports, and the remainder is what decides close games.
Amazons on one line
A board one square high is small enough to evaluate completely: every strip from two to ten squares with one amazon a side is 37,886 positions taking 81 distinct values, and every one of them is an integer, a switch, a number plus a star, or a bare star. Not one is a fraction — and forcing the arrow onto the square just vacated, which takes a freedom away rather than adding one, produces 1,196 that are.
The switch a player is imagining
Every account of a hot position ends up as "worth about m, and worth t to move in", which is the switch {m+t | m−t}. For a plain fight that summary is the position exactly. For a fight with anything behind it the leftover is not a rounding error — on one position here it is a whole second fight of temperature two.
Two games in one environment
A coupon stack measures a position: play the whole board out and the coupon the players stop at is the temperature, the score is the mean. Put a second position beside the first and one of the two measurements stops working. Over 36 ordered pairs the contributions still add to the means every time, and the coupon a fight is entered at moves on 13 of them — without either position changing.
A rule with a guarantee
Evaluating a sum of a dozen fights is impossible; following a rule is not. Move where the stake is largest, and over 220 sums of three hot components the rule scores exactly what perfect play scores in 196 of them, is never more than one point behind, and never ends more than the largest single stake below the mean. The rule that is supposed to be different — answer the threat — chose differently in none of the 220.
What a number does to a fight
Adding a number to a position moves everything and changes nothing: over three thousand translations the temperature never once shifted and both stops moved by exactly the number added, every time. What the number decides is whether the fight is worth having — and the interval where the two players are confused is exactly the open interval between the negated stops, right in all 2,890 cases away from its endpoints and wrong in 110 that are all on them.
When a switch is not a switch
A position {a | b} with numbers on both sides is a fight only while a is above b. Sweeping the boundary with a fixed at 2 and b climbing from −2 to 3 turns up three regimes rather than the two the definition suggests: eight fights whose temperature is exactly half the gap, one position at a = b that is 2∗ and is not a number, and beyond that numbers chosen by the simplicity rule — which on 8 of 12 sampled cases is not the midpoint.
Cooling adds and heating does not
The two operators are presented as a pair, and they are not one. Cooling a sum is the same as cooling the parts and adding, on every one of the 1,768 pairs tried, at two taxes and on two pools. Heating fails on 263 — and not for the obvious reason: in every failure neither part and not the sum is a number, so the clause exempting numbers never fires at the top. It fires two levels down, where an option of a sum is one part's option plus the whole of the other.
The fight never runs backwards
Left's stop is never below Right's — in every one of 1,780 distinct values, computed twice by two independently written routes, with nothing that disagreed anywhere. The inequality is what makes a mean value well defined and a fight a fight; and where it collapses to equality, 433 of the 460 cold positions turn out not to be numbers at all.
The operator chosen for one game
Chilling is cooling by exactly one, and the one is not derived from anything. It is chosen because Domineering mostly runs at that temperature — and measured against this site's whole Domineering catalogue it turns thirteen of fifteen boards into numbers or numbers plus a star, and warms thirteen of the fifteen back exactly. They are not the same thirteen: eleven boards do both, two freeze too far to be recovered, and two stay hot and come back on the nose.
Below zero
Temperature is described as urgency and urgency has no obvious bottom, but the scale stops at −1 and only the numbers are on it. The rung above is exactly zero, and the 337 values born by day three that sit there are the ones a number cannot be told from — flat thermograph, nothing at stake, and an infinitesimal that no number can see. Two independent computations agree on the classification for all 1,474.
A rule with no promise at all
Playing in a hottest component comes with a bound: never more than the largest single temperature below the mean of the board. Over 220 sums the bound holds 220 times — and so does the bound for a rule with nothing behind it, which scores exactly what perfect play scores on 205 sums against the hottest rule's 196. The control that shows the bound is doing work is the rule that plays the coldest component, which breaks it 74 times and loses up to eleven points.
Topple it from either end
A row of blue and red is the picture this site opens with, and under Hackenbush's rules it is always a number. Knock the pieces over instead of cutting them — everything on the chosen side falls — and 480 of the 510 rows up to eight pieces stop being numbers. The two games agree on sixteen rows, every one of a single colour, and the temperature of the hottest row climbs by exactly a half for each domino added.
How cold a sum of hot games can be
The temperature of a sum is at most the largest temperature in it, and the bound leaves the whole interval below it open. Over 1,035 pairs the sums do not use that interval: 864 sit exactly at the maximum, 160 are frozen outright, and eleven land anywhere in between — every one of them with a component whose wall bends.
What a move nobody makes is worth
If Right's move in a fight has to be answered, then Left's move in the same fight prevents an exchange Right was going to get for nothing. That is a reverse sente, and pricing it is the awkward case: over sixty measurements the gain matches the local temperature once and the follow-up's swing twice, and the band over which the move is worth taking is not the band over which the move it reverses is sente.
What is left when the copies pair off
A pile of n copies stays within a bounded distance of n times the mean, and the distance never grows. The difference is a game rather than a number, and what it actually is has a much better answer: for a plain switch it alternates between one fight and nothing at all, and for a fight with a follow-up it is different every time — bounded in size and unbounded in complexity.
The numbers it is confused with
A position is confused with a number when neither is at least as good as the other, and the set of such numbers is an interval. It is exactly the open interval between the two stops: over 36,850 comparisons the rule is wrong nowhere it speaks, and the 2,596 comparisons it declines are precisely the ones at an endpoint, where the position and the number differ by an infinitesimal.
When two thermographs can be added
The temperature of a sum is not the sum of the temperatures, and the natural repair is to add the whole diagrams instead. Over every pair of hot values born by day two the added walls always bound the true ones and the mast always comes out right — and the whole diagram is right exactly when at most one of the two components is hot, which is precisely the case a reader has no use for.
How hot a day gets
A day of construction buys exactly one degree of temperature — nought, then one, then two — and the value attaining the maximum is unique on every day: ∗, then {1 | −1}, then {2 | −2}. The distribution underneath is not tidy at all: it peaks at a half, leans to the right of the peak, and has a hole in it at one and three quarters where nothing is born.
A pool built to punish greed
The rung below found a rule with no theorem behind it beating the rule with one, and predicted that a pool of deliberate traps would reverse the result. It does not. The traps miss, because the rule called greedy scores a move by the stop it leaves and a stop already contains the follow-up — and the rule the traps do catch, losing sixteen points where the guaranteed rule loses five, had to be written to make the point.
A fight with no midpoint
The mean of {a | b} is the midpoint and the temperature is half the gap — on the twenty-one values of day three where a and b are numbers. One hundred and forty-six others have the same shape and not the hypothesis, and the repair that suggests itself, reading the two stops instead of the two options, holds on about three quarters of them and no more.
How hot a real position is
Counted one value at a time, a tenth of the subject is hot. Counted one position at a time — every board this site has enumerated, all 11,397 of them — it is a twentieth, two thirds of the positions are worth numbers outright, and ten of the seventeen rulesets never produce a hot position at all.
The answer that starts another fight
A local move is answered while the ambient temperature stays below the follow-up's — and that rule, which this site has carried since the anchor opened, is exact only when the answer ends the fight. When the answer starts another one the crossover is exactly half the follow-up's temperature, on every position tested, and a third level of fight does not halve it again.
The thirty that cancel themselves
Thirty values born by day three are equal to their own negatives, and every one of them has a mean of exactly nought and two stops that are exact opposites. Neither property comes close to picking them out — 496 values of the day have a mean of nought — and half of the thirty are hot, one of them the hottest value the day produces.
Fifty-two errors and seven sizes
Day two is a lattice and a group and not a lattice-ordered group, and the fifty-two incomparable pairs it fails on leave fifty-two different error terms. Measured rather than listed, the fifty-two collapse: seven pairs of stops, three means, three temperatures, and a rule that predicts the temperature from the pair on forty-four of them.
A schedule instead of a number
Playing in the hottest component loses at most the largest temperature on the board — the classical guarantee, stated against one number. Sorting the temperatures and reading the guarantee one step further down gives a promise 47 per cent smaller that is never breached over 1,734 sums. Two steps down it fails 120 times, so the schedule has exactly one step of slack in it.
When to leave the environment
A Go player's question is not which fight to take but when to stop taking the small stuff. Put two fights beside a stack of coupons and the orthodox answer — leave when the coupon falls to the hottest temperature on the board — is exact on sixty of eighty-one pairs. All twenty-one departures have a fight with a follow-up in them, and every pair of plain switches leaves on time.
A game with nothing at stake
The rung below explained a coincidence with a claim it did not compute: that End-Nim carries no hot self-negative values. The census says something stronger. Not one of 10,919 rows across three shapes of board is hot, every one of them is worth an infinitesimal, and the 361 rows the earlier census called numbers are 361 rows worth nought. The reason is one line of the rule, and 2,693 distinct values sit underneath it.
The bend is the condition
The rung below offered a description of the class its stop reading is exact on — neither wall bends below the meeting point — and a route to proving it: that a bend happens precisely when some option is neither a number nor an infinitesimal. The first is exact on all 138 values, both directions, no exception. The second is half right: every bent value has such an option and 49 unbent ones do too. And the eight apparent exceptions to the first turn out to be a bookkeeping convention.
How big the answer is
The rung below found every early departure from a coupon stack caused by a position with a follow-up, and could not say more: its follow-ups were all of a similar size, so the class it measured was one bit. A pool graded by follow-up size answers it. With the position's own temperature held at one, the departure runs from coupon 1 to coupon 3.5 as the follow-up's temperature runs from 1 to 4 — and over the whole grid the players leave at the larger of the two temperatures.
What a fight does to a fight
A number added to a position shifts both its stops by itself; an infinitesimal moves neither. A hot game does neither: over 720 sums the two stops add on 330 and are wrong on the rest. What survives is the mean, which adds on every one of the 720 — and the failure has a bound, since no stop is ever out by more than twice the smaller of the two temperatures, a bound 222 of the sums attain exactly.
Half a follow-up out
The rung below settled which values the stop reading is wrong about — the ones whose walls bend — and left the size of the error unmeasured. It is not bounded by anything readable off the diagram; it equals something readable off the diagram. On all thirty-two, the mean and the temperature are each out by exactly half the follow-up's temperature, and the temperature is always read too low.
One fight makes a board a fight
The rung below found 16 per cent of the components a played game produces to be hot, against 53 per cent of the catalogue they are drawn from, and predicted that the share of hot boards would be much larger. Taking the same play-outs and tallying at the board gives 32 per cent — twice the piece figure and not ten times it, because a Domineering board carries only 1.68 pieces and the hot ones cluster on the same boards.
A bound with one number too many
The rung below bounded how far a hot addend can drag a stop — twice the smaller of the two temperatures — over sums whose addends were all plain switches, and conjectured that an addend with a follow-up would need twice the smaller of three numbers. Over 1,440 sums with bent addends the two-number bound holds everywhere and is attained 358 times, and the three-number version fails on 66.
The quantity that does not order a board
The rung below found the players leaving an environment at the larger of a position's two temperatures, and proposed that a board should therefore be played in the order of that quantity. Over 220 boards of three components it plays exactly on 124 against playing-in-the-hottest's 196, loses 85 of the 97 disagreements, breaks Hotstrat's guarantee on six boards, and costs nine points on its worst one.
A second level of stops
The rung below found the stop reading's error to be exactly half the follow-up's temperature and asked whether the correction survives a wider pool, survives two bends, and can be stated without a thermograph. It survives eleven times the pool, missing two values in 1,459. It needs no thermograph — the follow-up's temperature is half its own stop gap. And it does not survive two bends, because day three contains no value with two of them.
A rule that beats the hottest
The rung below proposed the reverse of the rule that had just failed — discount a component by its answer's temperature rather than promoting it — and predicted, before the sweep, that it would not beat playing in the hottest component. It does. It plays exactly on 201 of 220 three-component boards against 196, wins two thirds of the boards where the two disagree, keeps inside a guarantee proved for the other rule, and the gap widens as the board grows.
Which end a sum lands at
The rung below found the errors in a translated stop clustered at the two ends of the range its bound allows — 660 at nought and 358 exactly on the bound — and asked for a rule saying which end a given pair lands at. There is one, in four lines, exact on all 1,440 sums. Three of the four cases are decided by the value being translated alone, and the property that decides them is the bend the switches ladder found for a different question entirely.
The two numbers at the top
The rung below found the crossover of a sente fight to be its temperature less half its answer's, and said a proof would settle the depth question with it. The depth question is settled without the proof, by construction: group the positions by their two top temperatures and the crossover is single-valued on every group, however far apart the third temperature is — and the formula survives a fourth level of fight, which the rung below never reached.
The bend is in the stops
The rung below reduced the whole stop reading to one question — does this wall bend? — and asked whether that could be answered from the options' stops instead of from a diagram. It can, in four lines, and it gives more than the bend: on all 1,459 non-number values born by day three the options' stops determine the entire thermograph. One day deeper it breaks, and every failure is a value with a bent-walled option.
A bend that never reaches the surface
How many levels of the recursion a thermograph needs before its stops suffice is a number attached to a position, and the rung below conjectured it was the depth of the deepest bend in the tree. It is not: on 124 values a bend one level down costs nothing at all. What the number counts is the longest unbroken chain of bends running down from the top, exact on 2,400 of 2,403.
A pool built to have an answer
The coefficient in the rule score a component by t − λa scored identically for every λ in the unit interval, because the rule reads an ordering and that pool's orderings changed at three places. A pool designed to have twelve crossings turns the interval into thirteen different rules, and all three board sizes agree on one cell: between a quarter and a third.
Which top is the top
The crossover law's proof rests on the walls above the crossover being governed by the top two options, and the check was never run. Run on 23,586 heights it holds exactly — but only when the options are ranked by mean value. Ranked by the temperatures the law is stated in, it fails on a fifth of them.
A description, and not a detector
The rung below noticed that the count of shapes attaining the hottest temperature grew across a plateau and collapsed at the step, and proposed it as a way to read a plateau off a single size. The growth is exact — five plateaus, no exception — and the rule is impossible: five orbits precede a rise at seven squares and no rise at eight.
One expression proved, and one withdrawn
The census closed with three expressions exact on 1,440 pairs, and the rung above asked for derivations. The cold one has a four-line proof. The straight one has a threshold the census cannot determine — any constant between 4/3 and 3/2 fits it — and eight more addends of the same family break it on 38 pairs while leaving the bound above it untouched.
The four paragraphs prove something else
Three rungs earned the right to write the crossover law's proof as two straight walls meeting where the law says. The walls are straight — one of them everywhere, for a trivial reason, and the other only above the answer's own temperature. The crossover sits below that height, so the geometry holds nowhere the law is about, and where it does hold it proves the temperature instead.
The bend above the top
The chain reading gets three values in 2,403 wrong because it counts bends that the diagram never reaches. Counting only the bends below the position's own temperature fixes all three and breaks none — the first exact reading on this ladder, and it needs one comparison rather than the envelope the rung below expected.
A second pool, designed differently
One designed pool put the rule's best coefficient between a quarter and a third, and all three board sizes agreed. A second pool, built by the identical greedy criterion from different material, has no cell that is best at every size — so the coefficient is a property of the pool and there is no number to find.
The residues as a sequence
Four of the eight residue sequences never repeat, and a recurrence is not a description. There is a closed form and it is not for the game: the stops and the temperature of the n-th residue are periodic with period one, two or four on every sequence in the pool, while three of them produce a different game at every n.
An environment instead of a stack
The guarantee behind playing the hottest component survives one step down a board's sorted temperatures and fails at two. Against a coupon environment as hot as the board it survives all of them — because the rule stops being approximate and starts being optimal, on every sum in the pool built to punish it.
What a pass is worth to a theory
The rung below finds fifteen of twenty-seven coin rows where having the move is a disadvantage, and those are exactly the rows Milnor's mean-value theory has to assume away. Allow a pass and the hypothesis stops being a hypothesis — nought violations, on every row in range. What it costs is the convention the rest of this site is built on.
A hypothesis has to hold all the way down
Milnor's bound is proved by induction over the play, so the condition it needs has to hold at every position the play can reach. Checked on the row instead, ninety-two pairs pass the test and twenty-four of them break the bound. Checked at every subposition, twenty-eight pairs pass and none breaks it.
What two numbers cannot tell apart
A thermograph summarises a position in a mean and a temperature — nine characters against the brace form's twenty-two, and readable in a way the expression is not. It is also not exact: 1,454 of the 1,474 games born by day three share a pair with some other game, 291 of them share one pair, and adding a star to two of those gives different winners.
The bound names the hottest part and the cost does not
Moving in the hottest component costs at most the largest temperature on the board, and that bound is attained: 100 lines of 4,240 pay exactly it. It is still the wrong quantity. Across four pools and boards of two, three and four parts the cost is nothing on 90.8% of lines and otherwise takes one of two values — half a point or one — on boards whose largest temperature runs to three, and it exceeds the coolest component on 13 lines and twice it on none.
The cheap fights make the rule cheaper
A conjecture stands that playing the hottest part costs at most the coolest temperature times the number of parts sharing it — proposed on a range where that number never exceeds two. Swept to five-part boards over 10,410 lines it is false, and false the other way round: every line costing more than the coolest part has one or two parts at that temperature, and over the 3,230 lines with three or more, not one does.
The restriction that buys the most
Four candidate classes of scoring game, scored on the same two families and the same three questions. The class everyone expects to be tiny — the rows that cancel against their own negatives — is empty on rows of three and the widest restriction on rows of four, where it holds fifteen rows against the hereditary class's twelve and gets all 225 of its comparisons right against 108 of 144. The trade everyone expected does not exist.
Even rows always reward the move
Milnor's mean-value theory needs an incentive to move — the player to move must do at least as well as if the opponent moved first. On a coin row with an even number of coins that is not a hypothesis but a theorem: the first player can collect one whole parity class of coins, and one of the two classes holds at least half the total. So the condition excludes no even row whatever the coins, the class the earlier table called 'incentive at the top' was every row of four, and the hereditary condition is a condition on odd intervals alone.
Named alongside it
The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.
TemperatureThermographSwitchHot gameStopsDisjunctive sumExhaustive searchEnumerationCanonical formSenteCoolingFollow-up